Oklahoma Governor
OPEN SEAT
Also on the ballot: Robert Brooks Sr. (I), Orlando Lynn Bush (I) and Jerry Griffin (I).
FTP RACE SIGNAL
The market is the only reading on this seat. Oklahoma has no verified prior result on file and no general-election poll.
Likely R
SAFE DLIKELY DLEAN DTOSS-UPLEAN RLIKELY RSAFE R
Market · Likely RR 93.8¢ — traders' price for a Republican hold.
Signal clarityMediumas of 2026-08-27
The market moved 3¢ toward the Democrat in the last 7 days.
MARKET
BandPRICEToss-up50–65¢Lean65–82¢Likely82–95¢Safe95¢ and above
R 93.8¢
Kalshi party market · checked Aug 27
View market on Kalshi ↗
POLLING
BandPOINTSToss-up0–5Lean5–10Likely10–20Safe20 and above
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PRIOR RESULT
BandPOINTSToss-up0–5Lean5–12Likely12–25Safe25 and above
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No verified prior result
The last general election in this seat has not been imported from an official state canvass, so the signal has no baseline.
FUNDRAISING
BandRATIO TO 1Parity1–5Lean5 and above
9.6 to 1
Cyndi Munson$1.01M
Mike Mazzei$9.74M
PULLED 08-19 · PERIOD 08-10 · STATE FILING
Total receipts this cycle.
BALLOT & DATES
Primary 06-16 · HELDRunoff 08-25 · HELDGeneral Nov 3, 2026
R settled · D settled · I settled
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