Elections Intelligence

Oklahoma Governor

OPEN SEAT
LIKELY R
Cyndi Munson Democratic · Open-seat nominee
KALSHI PARTY MARKETCHECKED Aug 27
9.5¢REPUBLICAN 93.8¢
View market on Kalshi ↗
Mike Mazzei Republican · Open-seat nominee
Also on the ballot: Robert Brooks Sr. (I), Orlando Lynn Bush (I) and Jerry Griffin (I).
FTP RACE SIGNAL

The market is the only reading on this seat. Oklahoma has no verified prior result on file and no general-election poll.

Likely R
SAFE DLIKELY DLEAN DTOSS-UPLEAN RLIKELY RSAFE R
Market · Likely RR 93.8¢ — traders' price for a Republican hold.
Signal clarityMediumas of 2026-08-27
The market moved 3¢ toward the Democrat in the last 7 days.
MARKET BandPRICEToss-up50–65¢Lean65–82¢Likely82–95¢Safe95¢ and above
R 93.8¢

Kalshi party market · checked Aug 27

View market on Kalshi ↗
POLLING BandPOINTSToss-up0–5Lean5–10Likely10–20Safe20 and above
Cole Hargrave ↗ D+ Aug 3 - 6 · n=600 LV · RUNOFF EVEN INDEPENDENT
PRIOR RESULT BandPOINTSToss-up0–5Lean5–12Likely12–25Safe25 and above

No verified prior result

The last general election in this seat has not been imported from an official state canvass, so the signal has no baseline.

FUNDRAISING BandRATIO TO 1Parity1–5Lean5 and above
9.6 to 1
Cyndi Munson$1.01M
Mike Mazzei$9.74M

PULLED 08-19 · PERIOD 08-10 · STATE FILING

Total receipts this cycle.

BALLOT & DATES Primary 06-16 · HELDRunoff 08-25 · HELDGeneral Nov 3, 2026 R settled · D settled · I settled COMPARE THE CANDIDATES ⇄