Elections Intelligence

Amy Klobuchar

MNGovernor: G under a starred pediment
CHALLENGER Likely D Likely to win
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Likely D

Klobuchar is the Democratic nominee for an open seat the Signal rates Likely D. The market has Klobuchar at 94.9¢ against Demuth's 5.4¢, down 0.1¢ since July 31. The polling average has Klobuchar ahead by 6 points, and Klobuchar leads 4.3 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Klobuchar · Democratic contract
94.9¢
▼ 0.1¢since July 31

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Amy Klobuchar by name.

Jul 3148 daily readings · high 97.4¢ · low 92.4¢Oct 12
Amy KlobucharDemocratic
94.9¢
Lisa DemuthRepublican
5.4¢

483,199 traded · 305,363 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Klobuchar v Demuth

Metric by metric
Klobuchar
Demuth
94.9¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
5.4¢
$13.33M
RaisedState filings, through September 15
$3.10M
$3.52M
Cash on handState filings, through September 15
$618.1K
48%
Latest pollMorning Consult · Oct 7
39%
U.S. Senatorsince 2007
Holds now
No office on file

The 2026 race

Minnesota Governor
Polling average
D+6

Average of 3 pollsters, September 14 to October 7.

Prior result
D+7.7

2022 general election, won by Tim Walz.

Fundraising
4.3 to 1

Raised, through September 15.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.