Don Tracy
ILWhat the Signal reads
Safe D
Tracy is the Republican nominee for an open seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Tracy at 3¢ against Stratton's 98.5¢, down 0.6¢ since July 31. The polling average has Stratton ahead by 13 points, and Stratton leads 2.4 to 1 in money raised.
The market
Tracy · Republican contract
3.0¢
▼ 0.6¢since July 31
This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Don Tracy by name.
18,690 traded · 15,416 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET
Tracy v Stratton
Metric by metricThe 2026 race
Illinois U.S. SenateLatest poll
D+13
PPP, D-leaning firm, October 1.
Prior result
D+16.1
2020 general election, won by Dick Durbin.
Fundraising
2.4 to 1
Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.