Rachel Grage · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Likely R

Grage is the Democratic challenger for a seat the Signal rates Likely R. The market has Grage at 8.9¢ against Rutherford's 93.9¢, up 1.4¢ since August 3. Rutherford leads 2.6 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Grage · Democratic contract

8.9¢

▲ 1.4¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Rachel Grage by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 12¢ · low 7¢Oct 12

Rachel GrageDemocratic

8.9¢

John H. RutherfordRepublican · incumbent

93.9¢

12,112 traded · 4,393 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Grage v Rutherford

Metric by metric

Grage

Rutherford

8.9¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

93.9¢

$272.4K

RaisedFEC, through July 29

$726.7K

$90.5K

Cash on handFEC, through July 29

$268.7K

No office on file

Holds now

U.S. Representativesince 2017

The 2026 race

Florida 5th District

Prior result

R+26.1

2024 general election, won by John H. Rutherford.

Fundraising

2.6 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through July 29.