Dave Min
CA-47What the Signal reads
Min is the Democratic incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Min at 98.5¢ against Roux's 2.4¢, up 4.2¢ since August 3. Min leads 8.9 to 1 in money raised.
The market
This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Dave Min by name.
6,459 traded · 4,095 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET
Min v Roux
Metric by metricThe 2026 race
California 47th District2024 general election · previous district lines, won by Dave Min.
Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.
THEIR SEAT WAS REDRAWND+4.2 → D+10.1
California voters approved Proposition 50 in November 2025, which replaced the commission-drawn map with one drawn by the Legislature for the 2026, 2028 and 2030 elections. It loses Huntington Beach and adds territory elsewhere in Orange County. It becomes somewhat more Democratic, going from Harris +4.2 to Harris +10.1 in the 2024 presidential vote.