Also on the ballot: Dean Ocean Abrams (I), Charles Burkett (I), Jeffrey Peter "Dr. Jeff" Datto (I), Moliere "Moe" Dimanche (I), Desmond Meade (I), Frank J. Russo (I), Scott Eckhard Jewett (L), Kathy Anderson (other), David "DJ" DeJesus (other), Richard Paul Dembinsky (other), M.W. Khan (other) and Erik Morris (other).
FTP RACE SIGNAL
The market prices this seat about where its history left it — a 19-point Republican hold in 2022, priced at 83¢ today.
Likely R
SAFE DLIKELY DLEAN DTOSS-UPLEAN RLIKELY RSAFE R
Polling · Lean RR+7 — Targoz, Aug 6.Market · Likely RR 83¢ — traders' price for a Republican hold.Prior result · Likely RR+19.4 in 2022.
Signal clarityHighas of 2026-08-27
Polling moved 5.9 points toward the Republican over 21 days.
MARKETBandPRICEToss-up50–65¢Lean65–82¢Likely82–95¢Safe95¢ and above