The market prices this seat about where its history left it — a 34-point Democratic hold in 2024, priced at 99.9¢ today.
Kalshi party market · checked Aug 27
View market on Kalshi ↗No qualifying general-election poll has been retrieved for this race.
Gerald E. Connolly (D)
66.68 — 32.86 · 2024 general election
def. Mike L. Van Meter (R). Margin verified against retrieved official results.
PULLED 08-04 · PERIOD 07-15 · FEC
Total receipts this cycle.