Aaron Gies
NY-23What the Signal reads
Safe R
Gies is the Democratic challenger for a seat the Signal rates Safe R. The market has Gies at 2.2¢ against Langworthy's 97.5¢, down 6.9¢ since August 3. The polling average has Langworthy ahead by 21 points, and Langworthy leads 10.2 to 1 in money raised.
The market
Gies · Democratic contract
2.2¢
▼ 6.9¢since August 3
This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Aaron Gies by name.
17,020 traded · 8,730 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET
Gies v Langworthy
Metric by metricThe 2026 race
New York 23rd DistrictLatest poll
R+21
Cygnal, September 21.
Prior result
R+31.6
2024 general election, won by Nicholas A. Langworthy.
Fundraising
10.2 to 1
Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.