Marquette Greene-Scott · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe R

Greene-Scott is the Democratic nominee for an open seat the Signal rates Safe R. The market has Greene-Scott at 5.8¢ against Nehls's 95.6¢, down 3.7¢ since August 3. Nehls leads 7.9 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Greene-Scott · Democratic contract

5.8¢

▼ 3.7¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Marquette Greene-Scott by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 13¢ · low 5.8¢Oct 12

Marquette Greene-ScottDemocratic

5.8¢

Trever NehlsRepublican

95.6¢

4,911 traded · 3,357 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Greene-Scott v Nehls

Metric by metric

Greene-Scott

Nehls

5.8¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

95.6¢

$53.8K

RaisedFEC, through June 30

$429.5K

$127

Cash on handFEC, through June 30

$151.7K

No office on file

Holds now

No office on file

The 2026 race

Texas 22nd District

Prior result

R+24.3

2024 general election · previous district lines, won by Troy E. Nehls.

Fundraising

7.9 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.