Elections Intelligence

Joe Strada

FL-11U.S. House H architectural icon
CHALLENGER Lean R Favored
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Lean R

Strada is the Republican nominee for an open seat the Signal rates Lean R. The market has Strada at 88¢ against Pericola's 14¢, up 2¢ since August 3. The polling average has Strada ahead by 2 points, and Strada leads 43.8 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Strada · Republican contract
88.0¢
▲ 2.0¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Joe Strada by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 90.9¢ · low 84¢Oct 12
Joe StradaRepublican
88.0¢
James PericolaDemocratic
14.0¢

5,290 traded · 4,154 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Strada v Pericola

Metric by metric
Strada
Pericola
88.0¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
14.0¢
$5.25M
RaisedFEC, through July 29
$119.8K
$2.25M
Cash on handFEC, through July 29
$32.2K
42%
Latest pollMDW Comms., D sponsor · Jul 29
42%
No office on file
Holds now
No office on file

The 2026 race

Florida 11th District
Latest poll
R+2

MDW Comms., D sponsor, July 29.

Prior result
R+20.8

2024 general election · previous district lines, won by Daniel Webster.

Fundraising
43.8 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through July 29.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.