Delaware U.S. Senate — Elections Intelligence

THE MATCHUP BOTH NOMINEES DETERMINED SEPTEMBER 15

DEM PRIMARY · SEP 15 NO MARKET

Decides which Democrat appears on the November ballot.

No market prices this primary · 4 Democrats have filed

REP PRIMARY · SEP 15 KXSENATEDER-26 ↗

Decides which Republican appears on the November ballot.

MK JS EVEN Michael Katz 90¢ John Shulli 13¢

Kalshi primary market · checked 6:36 PM

NOV 3 · THE GENERAL ELECTION SENATEDE-26 ↗

Democratic nominee Determined September 15

KALSHI PARTY MARKET CHECKED 08/27

DEMOCRAT 98.9¢

Republican nominee Determined September 15

Also on the November ballot · Dexter Bland (I)

FTP RACE SIGNAL

The market has run well past this seat's history — a 22-point Democratic hold in 2020, priced at 98.9¢ today.

Safe D

SAFE DLIKELY DLEAN DTOSS-UPLEAN RLIKELY RSAFE R

Market · Safe DD 98.9¢ — traders' price for a Democratic hold.Prior result · Likely DD+21.54 in 2020.

Signal clarityMediumas of 2026-08-27

MARKET BandPRICEToss-up50–65¢Lean65–82¢Likely82–95¢Safe95¢ and above

D 98.9¢

Kalshi party market · checked Aug 27

POLLING BandPOINTSToss-up0–5Lean5–10Likely10–20Safe20 and above

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No qualifying general-election poll has been retrieved for this race.

PRIOR RESULT BandPOINTSToss-up0–5Lean5–12Likely12–25Safe25 and above

D+21.54

Coons, Christopher A. (D)

59.44 — 37.9 · 2020 general election

def. Witzke, Lauren (R). Margin verified against retrieved official results.

FUNDRAISING BandRATIO TO 1Parity1–5Lean5 and above

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No comparable filings from both major-party nominees.