Abdul El-Sayed
MIWhat the Signal reads
Lean D
El-Sayed is the Democratic nominee for an open seat the Signal rates Lean D. The market has El-Sayed at 68¢ against Rogers's 33¢, down 1¢ since July 31. The polling average has El-Sayed ahead by 3.4 points, and El-Sayed leads 1.3 to 1 in money raised.
The market
El-Sayed · Democratic contract
68.0¢
▼ 1.0¢since July 31
This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Abdul El-Sayed by name.
6,504,558 traded · 4,151,455 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET
El-Sayed v Rogers
Metric by metricThe 2026 race
Michigan U.S. SenatePolling average
D+3.4
Average of 20 pollsters, September 14 to October 10.
Prior result
D+1.7
2020 general election, won by Gary Peters.
Fundraising
1.3 to 1
Raised 2025 to 2026, through July 15.