Elections Intelligence

Wisconsin Attorney General

DEFENDED SEAT
LIKELY D
Josh Kaul Democratic · Incumbent
KALSHI PARTY MARKETCHECKED Aug 27
DEMOCRAT 85¢21¢
View market on Kalshi ↗
Eric Toney Republican · Challenger
FTP RACE SIGNAL

The market is the only reading on this seat. Wisconsin has no verified prior result on file and no general-election poll.

Likely D
SAFE DLIKELY DLEAN DTOSS-UPLEAN RLIKELY RSAFE R
Market · Likely DD 85¢ — traders' price for a Democratic hold.
Signal clarityMediumas of 2026-08-27
MARKET BandPRICEToss-up50–65¢Lean65–82¢Likely82–95¢Safe95¢ and above
D 85¢

Kalshi party market · checked Aug 27

View market on Kalshi ↗
POLLING BandPOINTSToss-up0–5Lean5–10Likely10–20Safe20 and above

No qualifying general-election poll has been retrieved for this race.

PRIOR RESULT BandPOINTSToss-up0–5Lean5–12Likely12–25Safe25 and above

No verified prior result

The last general election in this seat has not been imported from an official state canvass, so the signal has no baseline.

FUNDRAISING BandRATIO TO 1Parity1–5Lean5 and above
Josh Kaul$1.38M
Eric Toney$893.9K

PULLED 08-19 · PERIOD 07-27 · STATE FILING

Cash on hand at the period end, not money raised.

BALLOT & DATES Primary 08-11 · HELDGeneral Nov 3, 2026 D settled · R settled