Abraham J. Hamadeh · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Likely R

Hamadeh is the Republican incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Likely R. The market has Hamadeh at 86¢ against Greene-Placentia's 16¢, unchanged since August 3. Hamadeh leads 5.7 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Hamadeh · Republican contract

86.0¢

Unchangedsince August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Abraham J. Hamadeh by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 89¢ · low 84¢Oct 12

Abraham J. HamadehRepublican · incumbent

86.0¢

Bernadette Greene-PlacentiaDemocratic

16.0¢

7,951 traded · 6,787 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Hamadeh v Greene-Placentia

Metric by metric

Hamadeh

Greene-Placentia

86.0¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

16.0¢

$1.21M

RaisedFEC, through March 31 and July 1

$209.4K

$384.2K

Cash on handFEC, through March 31 and July 1

$190.4K

U.S. Representativesince 2025

Holds now

No office on file

The 2026 race

Arizona 8th District

Prior result

R+13.0

2024 general election, won by Abraham J. Hamadeh.

Fundraising

5.7 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through July 1.