Iowa Governor — Elections Intelligence

FTP RACE SIGNAL

The market and the latest general-election poll carry this seat — Iowa has no verified prior result on file.

Lean D

SAFE DLIKELY DLEAN DTOSS-UPLEAN RLIKELY RSAFE R

Market · Lean DD 75¢ — traders' price for a Democratic hold.Polling · Toss-upD+4.2 — Suffolk, Aug 26.

Signal clarityHighas of 2026-08-27

The market moved 4¢ toward the Republican in the last 7 days.

MARKET BandPRICEToss-up50–65¢Lean65–82¢Likely82–95¢Safe95¢ and above

D 75¢

Kalshi party market · checked Aug 27

POLLING BandPOINTSToss-up0–5Lean5–10Likely10–20Safe20 and above

D+4.2

Suffolk ↗ A Aug 19 - 22, 26 · n=500 LV D+4.2 INDEPENDENT

Emerson College ↗ A+ Aug 2 - 4, 26 · n=712 LV D+5.7 INDEPENDENT

Fox News/Beacon ↗ A Jun 23 - 27, 26 · n=1,003 RV D+9 INDEPENDENT

PRIOR RESULT BandPOINTSToss-up0–5Lean5–12Likely12–25Safe25 and above

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No verified prior result

The last general election in this seat has not been imported from an official state canvass, so the signal has no baseline.

FUNDRAISING BandRATIO TO 1Parity1–5Lean5 and above

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Rob Sand$17.96M

Zach Lahn$1.05M

PULLED 08-19 · PERIOD 07-14 · STATE FILING

Cash on hand at the period end, not money raised.