Elections Intelligence

Elizabeth Lee

AZ-5U.S. House H architectural icon
CHALLENGER Likely R Underdog
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Likely R

Lee is the Democratic nominee for an open seat the Signal rates Likely R. The market has Lee at 11¢ against Lamb's 91.5¢, down 3¢ since August 3. Lamb leads 7.9 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Lee · Democratic contract
11.0¢
▼ 3.0¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Elizabeth Lee by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 15¢ · low 9.1¢Oct 12
Elizabeth LeeDemocratic
11.0¢
Mark LambRepublican
91.5¢

23,690 traded · 6,536 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Lee v Lamb

Metric by metric
Lee
Lamb
11.0¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
91.5¢
$153.1K
RaisedFEC, through July 1
$1.22M
$26.7K
Cash on handFEC, through July 1
$243.4K
No office on file
Holds now
No office on file

The 2026 race

Arizona 5th District
Prior result
R+20.8

2024 general election, won by Andy Biggs.

Fundraising
7.9 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through July 1.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.