Johnny Garcia
TX-35What the Signal reads
Toss-up
Garcia is the Democratic nominee for an open seat the Signal rates Toss-up. The market has Garcia at 62¢ against Cruz's 39¢, up 16¢ since August 3. The polling average has Cruz ahead by 3 points, and Cruz leads 1.1 to 1 in money raised.
The market
Garcia · Democratic contract
62.0¢
▲ 16.0¢since August 3
This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Johnny Garcia by name.
174,241 traded · 129,332 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET
Garcia v Cruz
Metric by metricThe 2026 race
Texas 35th DistrictLatest poll
R+3
Normington Petts, House Majority PAC sponsor, August 31.
Prior result
D+34.7
2024 general election · previous district lines, won by Greg Casar.
Fundraising
1.1 to 1
Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.