Elections Intelligence

Christine Drazan

ORGovernor: G under a starred pediment
CHALLENGER Lean D Competitive underdog
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Lean D

Drazan is the Republican challenger for a seat the Signal rates Lean D. The market has Drazan at 25¢ against Kotek's 76¢, up 13¢ since July 31. The polling average has Kotek ahead by 2 points, and Kotek leads 1.1 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Drazan · Republican contract
25.0¢
▲ 13.0¢since July 31

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Christine Drazan by name.

Jul 3148 daily readings · high 28¢ · low 12¢Oct 12
Christine DrazanRepublican
25.0¢
Tina KotekDemocratic · incumbent
76.0¢

310,336 traded · 207,523 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Drazan v Kotek

Metric by metric
Drazan
Kotek
25.0¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
76.0¢
$11.13M
RaisedState filings, through October 4
$12.65M
$1.34M
Cash on handState filings, through October 4
$3.76M
42%
Latest pollGBAO, D-leaning firm · Oct 4
46%
No office on file
Holds now
Governor of Oregonsince 2023

The 2026 race

Oregon Governor
Polling average
D+2

Average of 3 pollsters, June 24 to October 4.

Prior result
D+3.4

2022 general election, won by Tina Kotek.

Fundraising
1.1 to 1

Raised, through October 4.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.