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PROFILES / U.S. HOUSE / NEW YORK
Cait Conley
Democratic · House challenger
CHALLENGER
ON THE 2026 BALLOT
TOSS-UP
KALSHI ·
69¢
· CHECKED
Aug 27
THE 2026 RACE · NEW YORK 17TH DISTRICT
Full race page →
OPPONENT
Mike Lawler (R)
Challenger
FTP RACE SIGNAL
Toss-up
AI-enabled synthesis of attributed evidence · not a publisher rating
KALSHI ·
Aug 27
D 69¢ · R 34¢
LATEST POLL
R+5
<a class="e-poll-source" href="https://coefficient.org/b96b92b3.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">co/efficient ↗</a> (B) 07-23 · n=1,292
STANDING · THIS SEAT
1:2
fundraising ratio v Lawler · FEC period 06-30
CAMPAIGN FINANCE · FEC
PULLED 08-04 · PERIOD 06-30
$4.32M
raised
$1.32M
cash on hand
CAIT FOR NEW YORK ↗
· Lawler: $8.17M / $4.84M CoH
BALLOT & DATES
Primary
06-23 · HELD
General
Nov 3, 2026
R settled · D settled
COMPARE V LAWLER ⇄