Brad Smith
WI-6What the Signal reads
Likely R
Smith is the Democratic challenger for a seat the Signal rates Likely R. The market has Smith at 10¢ against Grothman's 92¢, up 4.8¢ since August 3. Grothman leads 5.5 to 1 in money raised.
The market
Smith · Democratic contract
10.0¢
▲ 4.8¢since August 3
This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Brad Smith by name.
41,636 traded · 34,563 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET
Smith v Grothman
Metric by metricThe 2026 race
Wisconsin 6th DistrictPrior result
R+22.6
2024 general election, won by Glenn Grothman.
Fundraising
5.5 to 1
Raised 2025 to 2026, through July 22.