Seth Harp · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe R

Harp is the Democratic challenger for a seat the Signal rates Safe R. The market has Harp at 6.4¢ against Cammack's 96.7¢, down 0.2¢ since August 3. Cammack leads 54.1 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Harp · Democratic contract

6.4¢

▼ 0.2¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Seth Harp by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 9.3¢ · low 6¢Oct 12

Seth HarpDemocratic

6.4¢

Kat CammackRepublican · incumbent

96.7¢

5,748 traded · 2,985 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Harp v Cammack

Metric by metric

Harp

Cammack

6.4¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

96.7¢

$37.8K

RaisedFEC, through July 29

$2.05M

$3.0K

Cash on handFEC, through July 29

$877.0K

No office on file

Holds now

U.S. Representativesince 2021

The 2026 race

Florida 3rd District

Prior result

R+23.2

2024 general election, won by Kat Cammack.

Fundraising

54.1 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through July 29.