Elections Intelligence

Ohio Governor

OPEN SEAT
TOSS-UP
Amy Acton Democratic · Open-seat nominee
KALSHI PARTY MARKETCHECKED Aug 27
DEMOCRAT 56¢REPUBLICAN 45¢
View market on Kalshi ↗
Vivek Ramaswamy Republican · Open-seat nominee
Also on the ballot: Donald C. Kissick (L).
FTP RACE SIGNAL

The market and the latest general-election poll carry this seat — Ohio has no verified prior result on file.

Toss-up
SAFE DLIKELY DLEAN DTOSS-UPLEAN RLIKELY RSAFE R
Market · Toss-upD 56¢ — traders' price for a Democratic hold. Polling · Toss-upD+1 — Wedgewood Polls, Aug 14.
Signal clarityHighas of 2026-08-27
The market moved 5¢ toward the Democrat in the last 7 days.
MARKET BandPRICEToss-up50–65¢Lean65–82¢Likely82–95¢Safe95¢ and above
D 56¢

Kalshi party market · checked Aug 27

View market on Kalshi ↗
POLLING BandPOINTSToss-up0–5Lean5–10Likely10–20Safe20 and above
D+1
Wedgewood Polls ↗ Aug 11 - 13 · n=800 LV D+1 INDEPENDENT
Fox News/Beacon ↗ A Aug 6 - 10 · n=1,008 RV R+2 INDEPENDENT
Tulchin Research ↗ B- Jul 29 - Aug 4 · n=660 LV D+2 D SPONSOR
PRIOR RESULT BandPOINTSToss-up0–5Lean5–12Likely12–25Safe25 and above

No verified prior result

The last general election in this seat has not been imported from an official state canvass, so the signal has no baseline.

FUNDRAISING BandRATIO TO 1Parity1–5Lean5 and above
1.1 to 1
Amy Acton$16.47M
Vivek Ramaswamy$14.36M

PULLED 08-19 · PERIOD 07-31 · STATE FILING

Total receipts this cycle.

BALLOT & DATES Primary 05-05 · HELDGeneral Nov 3, 2026 R settled · D settled · L settled COMPARE THE CANDIDATES ⇄