Elections Intelligence

Greg Landsman

OH-1U.S. House H architectural icon
INCUMBENT Lean D Favored
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Lean D

Landsman is the Democratic incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Lean D. The market has Landsman at 87¢ against Conroy's 14¢, down 1¢ since July 31. The polling average has Landsman ahead by 3.3 points, and Landsman leads 3 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Landsman · Democratic contract
87.0¢
▼ 1.0¢since July 31

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Greg Landsman by name.

Jul 3148 daily readings · high 94¢ · low 84¢Oct 12
Greg LandsmanDemocratic · incumbent
87.0¢
Eric ConroyRepublican
14.0¢

45,843 traded · 36,097 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Landsman v Conroy

Metric by metric
Landsman
Conroy
87.0¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
14.0¢
$4.63M
RaisedFEC, through June 30
$1.51M
$3.61M
Cash on handFEC, through June 30
$474.2K
47.9%
Latest pollQuantus · Aug 24
44.6%
U.S. Representativesince 2023
Holds now
No office on file

The 2026 race

Ohio 1st District
Latest poll
D+3.3

Quantus, August 24.

Prior result
D+9.2

2024 general election · previous district lines, won by Greg Landsman.

Fundraising
3 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.

THEIR SEAT WAS REDRAWND+6.3 → R+2.6

Ohio had to redraw its map before 2026. The bipartisan Ohio Redistricting Commission voted unanimously for a new plan on Oct. 31, 2025, and it stays in place until the next census. It adds Clinton County and changes which part of Hamilton County it includes. The new lines flip the district, going from Harris +6.3 to Trump +2.6 in the 2024 presidential vote.

The record this is read from ↗

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.