Idaho U.S. Senate — Elections Intelligence

THE NOVEMBER FIELD

Democratic — SETTLED

David Roth Democratic · Nominee

Independent — SETTLED

Todd Achilles Independent · Nominee

Libertarian — SETTLED

Matt Loesby Libertarian · Nominee

Republican — SETTLED

James E. Risch Republican · Nominee

INDEPENDENT — ON THE BALLOT

NF Natalie Fleming Independent · Nominee

FTP RACE SIGNAL

Nothing live is reporting on this seat. Its last general election was a 29-point Republican hold in 2020.

Lean R

SAFE DLIKELY DLEAN DTOSS-UPLEAN RLIKELY RSAFE R

Fundraising · Lean RR 388.53-to-1 in receipts.Prior result · Safe RR+29.37 in 2020.

Signal clarityLow — finance and prior disagreeas of 2026-08-26

MARKET BandPRICEToss-up50–65¢Lean65–82¢Likely82–95¢Safe95¢ and above

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No settling contract prices this race, so there is no market reading.

POLLING BandPOINTSToss-up0–5Lean5–10Likely10–20Safe20 and above

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Bullfinch ↗ Aug 4 - 7 · n=608 LV Achilles+5 PARTISAN

Peak Insights ↗ Aug 11 - 13 · n=500 LV R+34 R SPONSOR

Bullfinch ↗ Aug 4 - 7 · n=608 LV R+4 PARTISAN

PRIOR RESULT BandPOINTSToss-up0–5Lean5–12Likely12–25Safe25 and above

R+29.37

Risch, Jim (R)

62.62 — 33.25 · 2020 general election

def. Jordan, Paulette (D). Margin verified against retrieved official results.

FUNDRAISING BandRATIO TO 1Parity1–5Lean5 and above

R 388.53 to 1

David Roth$8.6K

James E. Risch$3.36M

Todd Achilles$692.2K

PULLED 08-04 · PERIOD 04-29 · FEC

Total receipts this cycle.