Elections Intelligence
PROFILES / U.S. HOUSE / MAINE

Paul LePage

Republican · House challenger
CHALLENGER ON THE 2026 BALLOT TOSS-UP KALSHI · 58¢ · CHECKED Aug 27
THE 2026 RACE · MAINE 2ND DISTRICTFull race page →
OPPONENTMatthew Dunlap (D)Challenger
FTP RACE SIGNALToss-upAI-enabled synthesis of attributed evidence · not a publisher rating
KALSHI · Aug 27R 58¢ · D 45¢
LATEST POLLD+1<a class="e-poll-source" href="https://x.com/PatrickSvitek/status/2079151831998230855" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">Tulchin Research ↗</a> (B-) 07-20 · n=600
STANDING · THIS SEAT
2:1fundraising ratio v Dunlap · FEC period 06-30
CAMPAIGN FINANCE · FECPULLED 08-04 · PERIOD 06-30
$2.56Mraised
$1.69Mcash on hand
PAUL LEPAGE FOR CONGRESS ↗
· Dunlap: $1.21M / $228.6K CoH
BALLOT & DATES
Primary06-09 · HELD
GeneralNov 3, 2026
D settled · R settled
COMPARE V DUNLAP ⇄