Paul LePage
ME-2What the Signal reads
Lean R
LePage is the Republican nominee for an open seat the Signal rates Lean R. The market has LePage at 68¢ against Dunlap's 35¢, unchanged since July 31. The polling average has Dunlap ahead by 2.8 points, and LePage leads 2.1 to 1 in money raised.
The market
LePage · Republican contract
68.0¢
Unchangedsince July 31
This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Paul LePage by name.
133,552 traded · 95,012 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET
LePage v Dunlap
Metric by metricThe 2026 race
Maine 2nd DistrictPolling average
D+2.8
Average of 3 pollsters, September 12 to September 30.
Prior result
D+0.7
2024 general election, won by Jared Golden.
Fundraising
2.1 to 1
Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.