Louisiana 6th District
DEFENDED SEATALL-PARTY 11-03
THE NOVEMBER FIELD · 1 CANDIDATE
FTP RACE SIGNAL
A seat that went Democratic by 13 points in 2024 is now priced for the Republican.
Safe R
SAFE DLIKELY DLEAN DTOSS-UPLEAN RLIKELY RSAFE R
Prior result · Likely DD+13.1 in 2024.Market · Safe RR 95.9¢ — traders' price for a Republican hold.
Signal clarityMediumas of 2026-08-27
MARKET
BandPRICEToss-up50–65¢Lean65–82¢Likely82–95¢Safe95¢ and above
R 95.9¢
Kalshi party market · checked Aug 27
View market on Kalshi ↗
POLLING
BandPOINTSToss-up0–5Lean5–10Likely10–20Safe20 and above
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No qualifying general-election poll has been retrieved for this race.
PRIOR RESULT
BandPOINTSToss-up0–5Lean5–12Likely12–25Safe25 and above
D+13.1
Cleo Fields (D)
50.8 — 37.7 · 2024 general election
def. Elbert Guillory (R). Margin verified against retrieved official results.
FUNDRAISING
BandRATIO TO 1Parity1–5Lean5 and above
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No comparable filings from both major-party nominees.