Elections Intelligence

Doug Jones

ALGovernor: G under a starred pediment
CHALLENGER Likely R Underdog
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Likely R

Jones is the Democratic nominee for an open seat the Signal rates Likely R. The market has Jones at 6.1¢ against Tuberville's 94.6¢, down 3¢ since July 31. The polling average has Tuberville ahead by 13 points, and Tuberville leads 62.2 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Jones · Democratic contract
6.1¢
▼ 3.0¢since July 31

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Doug Jones by name.

Jul 3148 daily readings · high 13¢ · low 5.1¢Oct 12
Doug JonesDemocratic
6.1¢
Tommy TubervilleRepublican
94.6¢

140,422 traded · 101,159 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Jones v Tuberville

Metric by metric
Jones
Tuberville
6.1¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
94.6¢
$258.6K
RaisedState filings, through September 30 and October 9
$16.10M
$1.16M
Cash on handState filings, through September 30 and October 9
$6.56M
37%
Latest pollRMG Research, R sponsor · Sep 25
50%
No office on file
Holds now
U.S. Senatorsince 2021

The 2026 race

Alabama Governor
Polling average
R+13

Average of 3 pollsters, November 13 to September 25.

Prior result
R+37.7

2022 general election, won by Kay Ivey.

Fundraising
62.2 to 1

Raised, through October 9.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.