Amanda Janoo

CHALLENGER Likely R to Lean R Competitive underdog

What the Signal reads

Lean R

Janoo is the Democratic challenger for a seat the Signal rates Lean R. The market has Janoo at 24¢ against Scott's 76¢, up 10¢ since July 31. The polling average has Scott ahead by 2.3 points, and Janoo leads 1.7 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Janoo · Democratic contract

24.0¢

▲ 10.0¢since July 31

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Amanda Janoo by name.

Jul 3148 daily readings · high 25¢ · low 6.9¢Oct 12

Amanda JanooDemocratic

24.0¢

Phil ScottRepublican · incumbent

76.0¢

532,182 traded · 311,540 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Janoo v Scott

Metric by metric

Janoo

Scott

24.0¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

76.0¢

$714.5K

RaisedState filings, through September 28 and October 1

$414.5K

$280.1K

Cash on handState filings, through September 28 and October 1

$295.8K

43%

Latest pollState Navigate · Oct 4

46%

No office on file

Holds now

Governor of Vermontsince 2025

The 2026 race

Vermont Governor

Polling average

R+2.3

Average of 3 pollsters, September 21 to October 4.

Prior result

R+51.6

2024 general election, won by Phil Scott.

Fundraising

1.7 to 1

Raised, through October 1.