Laura Gillen · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Likely D

Gillen is the Democratic incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Likely D. The market has Gillen at 91.5¢ against Driscoll's 9.8¢, up 6.5¢ since August 3. Gillen leads 19.2 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Gillen · Democratic contract

91.5¢

▲ 6.5¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Laura Gillen by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 94.9¢ · low 85¢Oct 12

Laura GillenDemocratic · incumbent

91.5¢

Jeanine C. DriscollRepublican

9.8¢

71,413 traded · 50,063 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Gillen v Driscoll

Metric by metric

Gillen

Driscoll

91.5¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

9.8¢

$5.10M

RaisedFEC, through June 30

$264.8K

$3.84M

Cash on handFEC, through June 30

$226.3K

U.S. Representativesince 2025

Holds now

No office on file

The 2026 race

New York 4th District

Prior result

D+2.3

2024 general election, won by Laura Gillen.

Fundraising

19.2 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.