Fred Clark · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe R

Clark is the Democratic nominee for an open seat the Signal rates Safe R. The market has Clark at 5.9¢ against Alfonso's 95.8¢, down 3.4¢ since August 3. Alfonso leads 3.1 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Clark · Democratic contract

5.9¢

▼ 3.4¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Fred Clark by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 9.3¢ · low 4.9¢Oct 12

Fred ClarkDemocratic

5.9¢

Michael AlfonsoRepublican

95.8¢

10,747 traded · 5,635 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Clark v Alfonso

Metric by metric

Clark

Alfonso

5.9¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

95.8¢

$423.0K

RaisedFEC, through July 22

$1.35M

$174.0K

Cash on handFEC, through July 22

$663.4K

No office on file

Holds now

No office on file

The 2026 race

Wisconsin 7th District

Prior result

R+27.2

2024 general election, won by Thomas P. Tiffany.

Fundraising

3.1 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through July 22.