Warren Petersen
AZWhat the Signal reads
Likely D
Petersen is the Republican challenger for a seat the Signal rates Likely D. The market has Petersen at 21¢ against Mayes's 80¢, down 7¢ since August 3. The polling average has Mayes ahead by 5.6 points, and Mayes leads 2.4 to 1 in money raised.
The market
Petersen · Republican contract
21.0¢
▼ 7.0¢since August 3
This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Warren Petersen by name.
32,986 traded · 19,246 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET
Petersen v Mayes
Metric by metricThe 2026 race
Arizona Attorney GeneralPolling average
D+5.6
Average of 3 pollsters, August 13 to August 19.
Prior result
D+0.0
2022 general election, won by Kris Mayes.
Fundraising
2.4 to 1
Raised, through July 21.