Marsha Blackburn
TNWhat the Signal reads
Safe R
Blackburn is the Republican nominee for an open seat the Signal rates Safe R. The market has Blackburn at 94.6¢ against Green's 6.3¢, down 0.4¢ since July 31. The polling average has Blackburn ahead by 11 points, and Blackburn leads 15.3 to 1 in money raised.
The market
Blackburn · Republican contract
94.6¢
▼ 0.4¢since July 31
This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Marsha Blackburn by name.
96,442 traded · 69,817 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET
Blackburn v Green
Metric by metricThe 2026 race
Tennessee GovernorPolling average
R+11
Average of 2 pollsters, August 26 to September 12.
Prior result
R+32.0
2022 general election, won by Bill Lee.
Fundraising
15.3 to 1
Raised, through July 27.