Phil “Felipe” Ehr · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe R

Ehr is the Democratic challenger for a seat the Signal rates Safe R. The market has Ehr at 9.2¢ against Gimenez's 93¢, down 1.8¢ since August 3. Gimenez leads 2 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Ehr · Democratic contract

9.2¢

▼ 1.8¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Phil “Felipe” Ehr by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 12¢ · low 7.6¢Oct 12

Phil “Felipe” EhrDemocratic

9.2¢

Carlos A. GimenezRepublican · incumbent

93.0¢

8,156 traded · 5,309 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Ehr v Gimenez

Metric by metric

Ehr

Gimenez

9.2¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

93.0¢

$291.4K

RaisedFEC, through June 30 and July 29

$601.3K

$366.6K

Cash on handFEC, through June 30 and July 29

$692.9K

No office on file

Holds now

U.S. Representativesince 2021

The 2026 race

Florida 28th District

Prior result

R+29.1

2024 general election · previous district lines, won by Carlos A. Gimenez.

Fundraising

2 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through July 29.