Mary Peltola
AKWhat the Signal reads
Toss-up
Peltola is the Democratic challenger for a seat the Signal rates Toss-up. The market has Peltola at 74¢ against Sullivan's 27¢, up 19¢ since July 31. The polling average has Peltola ahead by 1.6 points, and Peltola leads 2 to 1 in money raised.
The market
Peltola · Democratic contract
74.0¢
▲ 19.0¢since July 31
This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Mary Peltola by name.
2,687,744 traded · 1,424,841 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET
Peltola v Sullivan
Metric by metricThe 2026 race
Alaska U.S. SenatePolling average
D+1.6
Average of 5 pollsters, September 17 to October 10.
Prior result
R+12.8
2020 general election, won by Dan Sullivan.
Fundraising
2 to 1
Raised 2025 to 2026, through July 29.