Elections Intelligence

Keith Ellison

MNAttorney General: AG under a pediment with the scales of justice
INCUMBENT Lean D Favored
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Lean D

Ellison is the Democratic incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Lean D. The market has Ellison at 66¢ against Schutz's 35¢, down 21¢ since August 3. The polling average has Schutz ahead by 2 points, and Ellison leads 1.3 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Ellison · Democratic contract
66.0¢
▼ 21.0¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Keith Ellison by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 88¢ · low 66¢Oct 12
Keith EllisonDemocratic · incumbent
66.0¢
Ron SchutzRepublican
35.0¢

72,409 traded · 45,008 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Ellison v Schutz

Metric by metric
Ellison
Schutz
66.0¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
35.0¢
$1.77M
RaisedState filings, through September 15
$1.34M
$634.5K
Cash on handState filings, through September 15
$1.02M
43%
Latest pollSurveyUSA, KSTP-TV, KAAL-TV, WDIO-TV sponsor · Sep 14
45%
Attorney General of Minnesota
Holds now
No office on file

The 2026 race

Minnesota Attorney General
Latest poll
R+2

SurveyUSA, KSTP-TV, KAAL-TV, WDIO-TV sponsor, September 14.

Prior result
D+0.8

2022 general election, won by Keith Ellison.

Fundraising
1.3 to 1

Raised, through September 15.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.