John Croisant · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe R

Croisant is the Democratic nominee for an open seat the Signal rates Safe R. The market has Croisant at 2.9¢ against Tedford's 98¢, down 6.4¢ since August 3. Tedford leads 12.4 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Croisant · Democratic contract

2.9¢

▼ 6.4¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on John Croisant by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 13¢ · low 1.6¢Oct 12

John CroisantDemocratic

2.9¢

Mark TedfordRepublican

98.0¢

7,080 traded · 3,375 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Croisant v Tedford

Metric by metric

Croisant

Tedford

2.9¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

98.0¢

$142.0K

RaisedFEC, through June 30

$1.76M

$36.6K

Cash on handFEC, through June 30

$173.7K

No office on file

Holds now

No office on file

The 2026 race

Oklahoma 1st District

Prior result

R+25.9

2024 general election, won by Kevin Hern.

Fundraising

12.4 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.