Barry Moore
ALWhat the Signal reads
Moore is the Republican nominee for an open seat the Signal rates Likely R. The market has Moore at 97.9¢ against Wess's 3.5¢, up 1.5¢ since July 31. The polling average has Moore ahead by 16.3 points, and Moore leads 47 to 1 in money raised.
The market
This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Barry Moore by name.
12,524 traded · 8,342 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET
Moore v Wess
Metric by metricThe 2026 race
Alabama U.S. SenateAverage of 2 pollsters, July 11 to September 25.
2020 general election, won by Tommy Tuberville.
Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.
THEIR SEAT WAS REDRAWNR+55.3 → R+36.0
Alabama is going back to the map its legislature passed in 2023. A court-drawn map was used in 2024; on June 2, 2026, the U.S. Supreme Court paused a lower-court order blocking the 2023 map, so the state's own map is in use this cycle. It becomes much less Republican, going from Trump +55.3 to Trump +36 in the 2024 presidential vote.