The settled side holds the Republican nomination. The party market prices the seat, not the people — it carries whichever Democrat wins on September 15, 2026.
DR
DEMOCRAT 95.3¢10¢
KALSHI PARTY MARKET · CHECKED 08/27Democratic nomineeDetermined by the primary on September 15, 2026Republican nomineeDetermined by the primary on September 15, 2026
FTP RACE SIGNAL
The market is the only reading on this seat. Delaware has no verified prior result on file and no general-election poll.
Safe D
SAFE DLIKELY DLEAN DTOSS-UPLEAN RLIKELY RSAFE R
Market · Safe DD 95.3¢ — traders' price for a Democratic hold.
Signal clarityMediumas of 2026-08-27
MARKETBandPRICEToss-up50–65¢Lean65–82¢Likely82–95¢Safe95¢ and above