Elections Intelligence

Brinker Harding

NE-2U.S. House H architectural icon
CHALLENGER Lean D Competitive underdog
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Lean D

Harding is the Republican nominee for an open seat the Signal rates Lean D. The market has Harding at 8.1¢ against Powell's 93.6¢, down 2.9¢ since August 3. The polling average has Powell ahead by 3.8 points, and Powell leads 1.3 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Harding · Republican contract
8.1¢
▼ 2.9¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Brinker Harding by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 27¢ · low 8.1¢Oct 12
Brinker HardingRepublican
8.1¢
Denise PowellDemocratic
93.6¢

69,880 traded · 50,601 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Harding v Powell

Metric by metric
Harding
Powell
8.1¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
93.6¢
$2.03M
RaisedFEC, through June 30
$2.67M
$1.07M
Cash on handFEC, through June 30
$997.4K
41.8%
Latest pollSurveyUSA · Sep 13
45.6%
No office on file
Holds now
No office on file

The 2026 race

Nebraska 2nd District
Latest poll
D+3.8

SurveyUSA, September 13.

Prior result
R+1.9

2024 general election, won by Don Bacon.

Fundraising
1.3 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.