Paige Cognetti
PA-8What the Signal reads
Lean D
Cognetti is the Democratic challenger for a seat the Signal rates Lean D. The market has Cognetti at 74¢ against Bresnahan's 27¢, up 12¢ since August 3. The polling average has Bresnahan ahead by 1 point, and Bresnahan leads 1.1 to 1 in money raised.
The market
Cognetti · Democratic contract
74.0¢
▲ 12.0¢since August 3
This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Paige Cognetti by name.
181,526 traded · 160,631 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET
Cognetti v Bresnahan
Metric by metricThe 2026 race
Pennsylvania 8th DistrictLatest poll
R+1
Impact Research, Cognetti sponsor, June 11.
Prior result
R+1.6
2024 general election, won by Robert P. Bresnahan, Jr..
Fundraising
1.1 to 1
Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.