Elections Intelligence
PROFILES / U.S. HOUSE / TEXAS

Henry Cuellar

Democratic · U.S. Representative, Texas 28th District · seeking another term · first took office 2025-01-03
INCUMBENT ON THE 2026 BALLOT LIKELY D KALSHI · 84¢ · CHECKED Aug 27
THE 2026 RACE · TEXAS 28TH DISTRICTFull race page →
OPPONENTTano Tijerina (R)Challenger
FTP RACE SIGNALLikely DAI-enabled synthesis of attributed evidence · not a publisher rating
KALSHI · Aug 27D 84¢ · R 19¢
LATEST POLLD+11<a class="e-poll-source" href="https://static1.squarespace.com/static/67aa7aa3e284b002cd6a420e/t/6a8debe648e3721adb0534b6/1787685864204/SouthTexasCDs2026.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">TSU - B. Jordan ↗</a> (B-) 08-26 · n=600
STANDING · THIS SEAT
+5.592024 general election margin — verified against official results
2:1fundraising ratio v Tijerina · FEC period 06-30
CAMPAIGN FINANCE · FECPULLED 08-04 · PERIOD 06-30
$2.23Mraised
$1.13Mcash on hand
· Tijerina: $1.40M / $768.2K CoH
BALLOT & DATES
Primary03-03 · HELD
Runoff05-26 · HELD
GeneralNov 3, 2026
D settled · R settled
COMPARE V TIJERINA ⇄