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Henry Cuellar
Democratic · U.S. Representative, Texas 28th District · seeking another term · first took office 2025-01-03
INCUMBENT
ON THE 2026 BALLOT
LIKELY D
KALSHI ·
84¢
· CHECKED
Aug 27
THE 2026 RACE · TEXAS 28TH DISTRICT
Full race page →
OPPONENT
Tano Tijerina (R)
Challenger
FTP RACE SIGNAL
Likely D
AI-enabled synthesis of attributed evidence · not a publisher rating
KALSHI ·
Aug 27
D 84¢ · R 19¢
LATEST POLL
D+11
<a class="e-poll-source" href="https://static1.squarespace.com/static/67aa7aa3e284b002cd6a420e/t/6a8debe648e3721adb0534b6/1787685864204/SouthTexasCDs2026.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">TSU - B. Jordan ↗</a> (B-) 08-26 · n=600
STANDING · THIS SEAT
+5.59
2024 general election margin — verified against official results
2:1
fundraising ratio v Tijerina · FEC period 06-30
CAMPAIGN FINANCE · FEC
PULLED 08-04 · PERIOD 06-30
$2.23M
raised
$1.13M
cash on hand
TEXANS FOR HENRY CUELLAR CONGRESSIONAL CAMPAIGN ↗
· Tijerina: $1.40M / $768.2K CoH
BALLOT & DATES
Primary
03-03 · HELD
Runoff
05-26 · HELD
General
Nov 3, 2026
D settled · R settled
COMPARE V TIJERINA ⇄