Jon Husted
OHWhat the Signal reads
Toss-up
Husted is the Republican appointed incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Toss-up. The market has Husted at 41¢ against Brown's 60¢, down 7¢ since July 31. The polling average has Brown ahead by 3.2 points, and Brown leads 2.6 to 1 in money raised.
The market
Husted · Republican contract
41.0¢
▼ 7.0¢since July 31
This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Jon Husted by name.
6,667,594 traded · 4,832,580 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET
Husted v Brown
Metric by metricThe 2026 race
Ohio U.S. Senate (Special)Polling average
D+3.2
Average of 11 pollsters, September 16 to October 6.
Prior result
R+6.1
2022 general election, won by JD Vance.
Fundraising
2.6 to 1
Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.