Elections Intelligence

Jefferson Van Drew

NJ-2U.S. House H architectural icon
INCUMBENT Likely R to Lean R Favored
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Lean R

Drew is the Republican incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Lean R. The market has Drew at 82¢ against Mullock's 19¢, down 5¢ since August 3. Drew leads 4.1 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Drew · Republican contract
82.0¢
▼ 5.0¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Jefferson Van Drew by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 89¢ · low 78¢Oct 12
Jefferson Van DrewRepublican · incumbent
82.0¢
Zack MullockDemocratic
19.0¢

40,081 traded · 26,747 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Drew v Mullock

Metric by metric
Drew
Mullock
82.0¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
19.0¢
$1.93M
RaisedFEC, through June 30
$462.9K
$1.54M
Cash on handFEC, through June 30
$120.2K
U.S. Representativesince 2019
Holds now
No office on file

The 2026 race

New Jersey 2nd District
Prior result
R+16.9

2024 general election, won by Jefferson Van Drew.

Fundraising
4.1 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.