Ryan Mackenzie
PA-7What the Signal reads
Lean D
Mackenzie is the Republican incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Lean D. The market has Mackenzie at 14¢ against Brooks's 87¢, down 19¢ since August 3. The polling average has Brooks ahead by 4 points, and Mackenzie leads 1.8 to 1 in money raised.
The market
Mackenzie · Republican contract
14.0¢
▼ 19.0¢since August 3
This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Ryan Mackenzie by name.
341,593 traded · 149,135 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET
Mackenzie v Brooks
Metric by metricThe 2026 race
Pennsylvania 7th DistrictPolling average
D+4
Average of 2 pollsters, July 2 to September 20.
Prior result
R+1.0
2024 general election, won by Ryan Mackenzie.
Fundraising
1.8 to 1
Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.