Elections Intelligence

Tim Walberg

MI-5U.S. House H architectural icon
INCUMBENT Safe R to Likely R Likely to win
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Likely R

Walberg is the Republican incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Likely R. The market has Walberg at 92.9¢ against Vukasovich's 7.7¢, down 0.4¢ since August 3. Walberg leads 31.2 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Walberg · Republican contract
92.9¢
▼ 0.4¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Tim Walberg by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 98¢ · low 92.9¢Oct 12
Tim WalbergRepublican · incumbent
92.9¢
Christian VukasovichDemocratic
7.7¢

10,768 traded · 6,764 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Walberg v Vukasovich

Metric by metric
Walberg
Vukasovich
92.9¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
7.7¢
$1.74M
RaisedFEC, through July 15
$55.8K
$993.8K
Cash on handFEC, through July 15
$13.3K
U.S. Representativesince 2011
Holds now
No office on file

The 2026 race

Michigan 5th District
Prior result
R+26.9

2024 general election, won by Tim Walberg.

Fundraising
31.2 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through July 15.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.