Elections Intelligence

Wyoming Governor

OPEN SEAT
SAFE R
KC
Kenneth R. Casner Democratic · Open-seat nominee
KALSHI PARTY MARKETCHECKED Aug 27
5.8¢REPUBLICAN 98¢
View market on Kalshi ↗
Eric Barlow Republican · Open-seat nominee
FTP RACE SIGNAL

The market is the only reading on this seat. Wyoming has no verified prior result on file and no general-election poll.

Safe R
SAFE DLIKELY DLEAN DTOSS-UPLEAN RLIKELY RSAFE R
Market · Safe RR 98¢ — traders' price for a Republican hold.
Signal clarityMediumas of 2026-08-27
MARKET BandPRICEToss-up50–65¢Lean65–82¢Likely82–95¢Safe95¢ and above
R 98¢

Kalshi party market · checked Aug 27

View market on Kalshi ↗
POLLING BandPOINTSToss-up0–5Lean5–10Likely10–20Safe20 and above
Pulse Dec. Science ↗ Jul 18 - 20, 26 · n=400 LV · R PRIMARY R+23 PARTISAN
PRIOR RESULT BandPOINTSToss-up0–5Lean5–12Likely12–25Safe25 and above

No verified prior result

The last general election in this seat has not been imported from an official state canvass, so the signal has no baseline.

FUNDRAISING BandRATIO TO 1Parity1–5Lean5 and above
Kenneth R. Casner$0
Eric Barlow$160.1K

PULLED 08-19 · PERIOD 08-18 · STATE FILING

Cash on hand at the period end, not money raised.

BALLOT & DATES Primary 08-18 · HELDGeneral Nov 3, 2026 R settled · D settled COMPARE THE CANDIDATES ⇄