James Talarico — Elections Intelligence

THE 2026 RACE · TEXAS U.S. SENATEFull race page →

OPPONENTKen Paxton (R)Challenger

FTP RACE SIGNALToss-upAI-enabled synthesis of attributed evidence · not a publisher rating

KALSHI · Aug 27R 51¢ · D 50¢

LATEST POLLD+6<a class="e-poll-source" href="https://texaspublicopinionresearch.substack.com/p/new-poll-in-texas-general-election" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">Slingshot Strategies ↗</a> (C+) 08-27 · n=1,000

STANDING · THIS SEAT

7:1fundraising ratio v Paxton · FEC period 06-30

CAMPAIGN FINANCE · FECPULLED 08-04 · PERIOD 06-30

$68.56Mraised

$21.55Mcash on hand

TALARICO FOR TEXAS ↗

· Paxton: $9.25M / $1.76M CoH

BALLOT & DATES

Primary03-03 · HELD

Runoff05-26 · HELD

GeneralNov 3, 2026

R settled · D settled · I no primary · L settled

Also on the ballot: Ted Brown (Libertarian)

COMPARE V PAXTON ⇄