Seth Magaziner · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Magaziner is the Democratic incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Magaziner at 94.5¢ against Mellor's 8.3¢, down 1.2¢ since August 3. Mellor leads 2.1 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Magaziner · Democratic contract

94.5¢

▼ 1.2¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Seth Magaziner by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 99.8¢ · low 94.3¢Oct 12

Seth MagazinerDemocratic · incumbent

94.5¢

Vic MellorRepublican

8.3¢

8,087 traded · 6,057 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Magaziner v Mellor

Metric by metric

Magaziner

Mellor

94.5¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

8.3¢

$1.38M

RaisedFEC, through August 20

$3.02M

$1.51M

Cash on handFEC, through August 20

$276.9K

U.S. Representativesince 2023

Holds now

No office on file

The 2026 race

Rhode Island 2nd District

Prior result

D+16.7

2024 general election, won by Seth Magaziner.

Fundraising

2.1 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through August 20.