Delaware At-Large District — Elections Intelligence

THE MATCHUP PRIMARY SEP 15 DECIDES THE REPUBLICAN SIDE

PRIMARY · SEP 15 · REPUBLICAN KXDEALR-26 ↗

Decides which Republican appears on the November ballot.

EC JW EVEN Earl Cooper 53¢ John J. Whalen III 49¢

Kalshi primary market · checked 6:36 PM · 1 other priced below 12¢

NOV 3 · THE GENERAL ELECTION KXHOUSERACE-DEAL-26 ↗

Sarah McBride holds the Democratic nomination. The party market prices the seat, not the people — it carries whichever Republican wins on September 15, 2026.

DEMOCRAT 99.7¢

KALSHI PARTY MARKET · CHECKED 08/27Sarah McBrideDemocratic · NomineeRepublican nomineeDetermined by the primary on September 15, 2026

FTP RACE SIGNAL

The market has run well past this seat's history — a 16-point Democratic hold in 2024, priced at 99.7¢ today.

Safe D

SAFE DLIKELY DLEAN DTOSS-UPLEAN RLIKELY RSAFE R

Market · Safe DD 99.7¢ — traders' price for a Democratic hold.Prior result · Likely DD+15.73 in 2024.

Signal clarityMediumas of 2026-08-27

MARKET BandPRICEToss-up50–65¢Lean65–82¢Likely82–95¢Safe95¢ and above

D 99.7¢

Kalshi party market · checked Aug 27

View market on Kalshi ↗

POLLING BandPOINTSToss-up0–5Lean5–10Likely10–20Safe20 and above

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No qualifying general-election poll has been retrieved for this race.

PRIOR RESULT BandPOINTSToss-up0–5Lean5–12Likely12–25Safe25 and above

D+15.73

Sarah McBride (D)

57.86 — 42.14 · 2024 general election

def. John J. Whalen III (R). Margin verified against retrieved official results.

FUNDRAISING BandRATIO TO 1Parity1–5Lean5 and above

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Sarah McBride$4.66M

Republican nominee determined Sep 15, 2026.

PULLED 08-04 · PERIOD 06-30 · FEC

Total receipts this cycle.