James Uthmeier
FLWhat the Signal reads
Lean R
Uthmeier is the Republican incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Lean R. The market has Uthmeier at 76¢ against Rodriguez's 24¢, down 6¢ since August 3. The polling average has Uthmeier ahead by 0.3 points, and Uthmeier leads 1.2 to 1 in money raised.
The market
Uthmeier · Republican contract
76.0¢
▼ 6.0¢since August 3
This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on James Uthmeier by name.
13,829 traded · 9,245 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET
Uthmeier v Rodriguez
Metric by metricThe 2026 race
Florida Attorney GeneralPolling average
R+0.3
Average of 3 pollsters, March 1 to September 17.
Prior result
R+21.2
2022 general election, won by Ashley Moody.
Fundraising
1.2 to 1
Raised, through October 2.